NCAA Men’s Lineup Data

I have completed the lineup data for the teams competing this weekend in the NCAA Division I Team Championships.

If you are still looking for a sleeper pick, check out some of the teams’ doubles records against top-50 competition. Of course Wake Forest and Virginia are solid there, but USC, Ohio State, TCU, Georgia and Cal are solid. A team like Michigan could get a leg up on Stanford with some solid doubles as well.

This is also a way to really look at match-ups. You can tell some teams really struggle at the middle of the lineup, while others may flourish…

Legend
S1 = singles line #1
S2 = singles line #2
S3 = singles line #3
S4 = singles line #4
S5 = singles line #5
S6 = singles line #6
D1 = doubles line #1
D2 = doubles line #2
D1 = doubles line #3
3+S = How many times won-lost at least 3 singles lines
DUBS = Record winning doubles point
T50S+ = W/L of at least 3 singles v. top-50
T50D = doubles record v top-50

2017 Men’s NCAA Lineup Data

Final Regular Season Men’s Singles Rankings

I decided to run these this morning to see how they compared to those of the ITA. Lot’s of similarities. One thing to remember is that I add all of the Futures and Challenger results where college players faced each other during the first semester. For a complete rundown on the methodology, refer to my first article on the rankings here.

 

RANK PLAYER TEAM RECORD
1 Cameron Norrie TCU 21-1
2 Mikael Torpegaard Ohio State University 33-3
3 Petros Chrysochos Wake Forest University 30-6
4 Christopher Eubanks Georgia Tech 27-5
5 Nuno Borges Mississippi State University 33-6
6 Aleks Vukic University of Illinois 23-2
7 Brandon Holt University of Southern California 33-8
8 Arthur Rinderknech Texas A&M University 24-8
9 Mike Redlicki University of Arkansas 27-10
10 Hugo Di Feo Ohio State University 29-5
11 Christian Sigsgaard University of Texas 25-15
12 Alfredo Perez University of Florida 23-10
13 Tom Fawcett Stanford University 17-9
14 Florian Lakat California 20-10
15 Thai-Son Kwiatkowski University of Virginia 24-6
16 Thomas Laurent University of Oregon 29-5
17 Juan Benitez Baylor University 21-8
18 Skander Mansouri Wake Forest University 30-9
19 Aron Hiltzik University of Illinois 19-5
20 Ronnie Schneider North Carolina 27-10
21 William Blumberg North Carolina 20-2
22 Alex Rybakov TCU 18-1
23 Strong Kirchheimer Northwestern University 27-12
24 Herkko Pollanen Ohio State University 27-7
25 Gage Brymer UCLA 22-11
26 Peter Bertran University of South Florida 32-8
27 Billy Griffith California 24-8
28 Constantin Schmitz Tulane University 23-6
29 Maxime Tchoutakian Baylor University 28-8
30 Andre Goransson California 25-11
31 Martin Redlicki UCLA 27-7
32 Borna Gojo Wake Forest University 21-4
33 Jose Salazar University of Arkansas 29-8
34 Gustav Hansson University of Mississippi 22-11
35 Jolan Cailleau Texas Tech University 24-15
36 Wayne Montgomery University of Georgia 27-17
37 Julian Cash Oklahoma State University 19-9
38 Collin Altamirano University of Virginia 15-5
39 Yuya Ito University of Texas 23-13
40 Christian Seraphim Wake Forest University 32-11
41 Emil Reinberg University of Georgia 32-14
42 Timo Stodder University of Tennessee 26-14
43 Alberto Barroso-Campos University of South Florida 25-7
44 William Bushamuka University of Kentucky 18-10
45 Jordi Arconada Texas A&M University 21-5
46 Harrison Scott University of Texas 27-10
47 Robert Kelly North Carolina 24-8
48 JC Aragone University of Virginia 32-8
49 Josh Hagar University of Notre Dame 20-15
50 Cameron Klinger Vanderbilt University 24-6
51 Spencer Papa University of Oklahoma 19-14
52 Henrik Wiersholm University of Virginia 22-1
53 Daniel Valent Vanderbilt University 23-15
54 Gabriel Friedrich University of South Carolina 25-13
55 Johannes Schretter Baylor University 20-3
56 Nathan Ponwith University of Georgia 20-11
57 Alexander Ritschard University of Virginia 21-5
58 David Biosca East Tennessee State University 26-7
59 Filip Bergevi California 18-9
60 Alex Ghilea University of Oklahoma 20-6
61 Jathan Malik University of Michigan 18-10
62 Jack Jaede University of Southern California 24-7
63 Corey Pang Cal Poly 26-7
64 Victor Pham Columbia University 22-11
65 Nicolas Alvarez Duke University 9-5
66 Walker Duncan University of Georgia 29-14
67 Alexis Galarneau North Carolina State 25-11
68 Tyler Lu Yale University 26-6
69 Shawn Hadavi Columbia University 28-11
70 JJ Wolf Ohio State University 15-4
71 Filip Vittek University of San Diego 19-8
72 Mazen Osama University of Alabama 19-13
73 Vinny Gillespie Drake University 22-7
74 Connor Curry Texas Tech University 23-13
75 Florin Bragusi University of Oklahoma 20-9
76 Jimmy Bendeck Baylor University 22-13
77 Dylan King Yale University 32-5
78 Sasha Gozun University of South Florida 17-11
79 Colin Sinclair Cornell University 29-7
80 Alex Knight University of Michigan 24-9
81 Adam Moundir Old Dominion University 24-8
82 Andrew Harris University of Oklahoma 5-6
83 Parker Wynn University of Louisville 41-10
84 Konrad Zieba Northwestern University 21-10
85 Alex Keyser Columbia University 25-11
86 Guillermo Nuñez TCU 15-6
87 Bjorn Thomson Texas Tech University 22-7
88 Jacob Dunbar University of Richmond 32-7
89 Harrison O’Keefe University of South Carolina 26-14
90 Nick Stachowiak Duke University 32-11
91 Catalin Mateas Duke University 24-13
92 Andrew Li Georgia Tech 20-13
93 Aziz Dougaz Florida State University 14-10
94 Johannes Ingildsen University of Florida 28-11
95 Nick Horton North Carolina State 19-16
96 Piotr Lomacki University of Miami-Florida 18-12
97 Rob Bellamy University of Southern California 21-6
98 Michail Pervolarakis University of Portland 23-7
99 Myles Schalet University of Michigan 23-9
100 Josh Pompan University of Pennsylvania 32-9
101 Jerry Lopez TCU 17-5
102 Lukas Finzelberg Oklahoma State University 18-11
103 Elliott Orkin University of Florida 20-13
104 Matic Spec University of Minnesota 21-16
105 Kyle Seelig Ohio State University 27-7
106 Lucas Gerch Oklahoma State University 17-6
107 Logan Smith University of Southern California 22-17
108 Sebastian Rey Tulane University 19-9
109 Joseph Di Giulio UCLA 16-5
110 Aleksandar Kovacevic University of Illinois 21-10
111 Ben Donovan Cal Poly 28-12
112 Hady Habib Texas A&M University 22-6
113 Carl Söderlund University of Virginia 13-2
114 Jack Findel-Hawkins University of North Florida 18-15
115 Niclas Braun Mississippi State University 18-11
116 Baker Newman Vanderbilt University 24-14
117 Kyle Mautner University of Pennsylvania 20-15
118 Or Ram-Harel University of Tulsa 10-12
119 Thibault Forget University of Southern California 28-13
120 Logan Staggs UCLA 19-4
121 Jan Zielinski University of Georgia 27-11
122 Lucas Poullain Florida State University 21-8
123 Justin Roberts University of South Florida 18-12
124 Leonardo Telles University of Texas 20-9
125 Adam Steryous Furman University 25-8

Sometimes You Need a Little Help — men’s bracket redux

I admit it. I screwed up some details on a few sites that do could not be due to conference rules. That was just doing it all independently and not double-checking it. Been a little busy at work, actually and staying up way too late for this.

If I had actually put the pods together, it would’ve been discovered. I was rushed.

Anything I type beyond here that is wrong I will just blame on the two Benadryl I took this evening.

Here are the updated grids

updated one-two grids

and

updated one-three grid

and

updated one-four grid

Where Do The 2-Seeds Go? And What About UW?

This is a problem. We are tied by travel distances, but in reality there are not many options. You really cannot send Florida State to Georgia for a third-straight year. You could send them to Florida again, but you can also send South Florida and Central Florida there. In the end, South Florida makes the most sense from a seeding standpoint and Georgia Tech makes the most sense going to Georgia. That being said, I won’t be shocked about anything.

So here’s the grid as I think it stands now.

Travel Grid for 2-Seeds and their projections

Now on my previous post, under the comments section, someone has raised a very good question as to if Washington can ‘jump’ one, two or even three teams? They have direct wins over USD, Portland and Utah State. San Diego is safe because they are an automatic qualifier. But can you jump one to get to the other two?

From the 2017 NCAA Pre-Championship Manual

Selection Criteria. The following criteria shall be employed by a governing sports committee in selecting participants for
NCAA championships competition [Bylaw 31.3.3; criteria for selection of participants]:
●● Won-lost record.
●● Strength of schedule.
●● Eligibility and availability of student-athletes for NCAA championships.

In addition to Bylaw 31.3.3, the tennis committee has received approval from the NCAA Division I Championships/Sports
Management Cabinet to consider the following criteria in the selection of at-large teams for the men’s and women’s tennis
championships (not necessarily in priority order):
Primary Criteria
●● Head-to-head competition.
●● Results versus common opponents.
●● Strength of schedule.
●● Wins versus teams (or individuals) already selected at time of consideration.

So what does this all mean? Also, this is directly afterwards.

Tie-Breaking Procedures
●● If the evaluation of the primary criteria does not result in a decision, the tie-breaking procedures will be reviewed. The
following criteria listed will be evaluated in priority order: Head-to-head competition.
●● Strength of schedule.

Primary Criteria Defined
●● Head-to-head competition.
This is a one-on-one direct comparison between two teams (or individuals). The tennis committee will award a maximum
of two points for defeating the same opponent two or more times.

●● Results versus common opponents.
Other than in cases in which the common opponent analysis is unambiguous (each team or individual has played a common opponent with one team or individual winning and one team or individual losing), the tennis committee will look very closely at the comparison before deciding whether one team or individual has demonstrated a higher level of play versus a common opponent.

●● Strength of schedule.
The Division I Championships/Sports Management Cabinet has approved the following strength-of-schedule definition for Division I tennis: The ITA rankings will be used to represent a combination of four categories (won-lost record or percentage, strength of schedule, significant wins and significant losses). Higher-ranked teams (or individuals) will be awarded a specific number of points based on their percentage difference (using the rankings’ average point-per-match formula) over the team (or individuals) they are being compared with in the selection and seeding process. Points will be awarded on the following scale:
1 point — If higher-ranked team’s (or individual’s) average is 1-10 percent greater than the lower-ranked team’s
(or individual’s) average;
2 points — If higher-ranked team’s (or individual’s) average is 10.1-20 percent greater than the lower-ranked
team’s (or individual’s) average; and
3 points — If higher-ranked team’s (or individual’s) average is 20.1 percent greater than the lower-ranked team’s
(or individual’s) average.

●● Wins versus teams (or individuals) already selected at time of consideration.
A one-point margin is sufficient to win the category. The tennis committee will award a maximum of two points for
defeating the same opponent multiple times.

Wins versus the top 50 teams in the ITA rankings.
Wins versus the top 60 singles players in the ITA rankings for eligible/entered singles players.
Wins versus the top 30 doubles teams in the ITA rankings for entered/eligible doubles teams.

Bottom line, I think Portland may be in trouble.

If that is the case, then Washington cannot just take their place at USC. The easiest would be to send Louisville to USC and Washington to TCU.

Men’s Seeds and Where the 3 and 4 Seeds May Go

I am still working with the 1-2 mappings. It is a real issue because there are so many issues I feel are not cool to some schools because of travel maximization.

Do you send South Florida back to Florida? Do you make Florida State go back to Athens for a third-straight year? Shouldn’t Wake get Kentucky instead of South Carolina due to seeding? But if you do that, then you cannot maximize the ‘bus’ trips.

I will work on this today and get back.

Here are the seeds

1    Wake Forest University
1    University of Virginia
1    Ohio State University
1    University of Southern California
1    UCLA
1    TCU
1    Baylor University
1    California
1    North Carolina
1    Oklahoma State University
1    University of Texas
1    University of Georgia
1    Texas A&M University
1    University of Oklahoma
1    University of Florida
1    Stanford University
2    University of Michigan
2    Mississippi State University
2    Georgia Tech
2    University of South Carolina
2    University of South Florida
2    Northwestern University
2    Columbia University
2    University of Oregon
2    University of Illinois
2    Cornell University
2    University of Mississippi
2    Tulane University
2    University of Central Florida
2    University of Wisconsin
2    University of Kentucky
2    Florida State University
3    University of Memphis
3    Duke University
3    University of Arkansas
3    UC Santa Barbara
3    SMU
3    University of Minnesota
3    Purdue University
3    Rice University
3    Georgia State University
3    University of Louisville
3    Utah State University
3    University of Portland
3    University of San Diego
3    Drake University
3    East Tennessee State University
3    Valparaiso University
4    Lamar University
4    University of Denver
4    Butler University
4    University at Buffalo
4    Tennessee Tech University
4    UMKC
4    Virginia Commonwealth University
4    UNC Wilmington
4    Florida Gulf Coast University
4    University of Idaho
4    Monmouth University
4    U.S. Military Academy
4    Presbyterian College
4    Bryant University
4    Florida A&M University
4    Alabama State University

But I do have a pretty good feeling on the threes and fours and here they are.

Travel Grid for 4-Seeds. Those in BLUE are projected sites

Travel Grid for 3-Seeds. Those in BLUE are projected sites

and the threes.

 

Saturday Night Special — men’s projections

It is late Saturday night and it is time to make some projections. The PAC 12 Championship is currently playing, but it really doesn’t matter in the grand scheme of things. Sure it’s USC-UCLA for the 3,784th time, but they are going to both be top-8 seeds, so they do not matter to the minutiae of the bracket.

Here are the top-50, assuming UCLA wins (but really won’t affect much)

1    Wake Forest University
2    University of Virginia
3    Ohio State University
4    UCLA
5    University of Southern California
6    TCU
7    Baylor University
8    California
9    North Carolina
10    Oklahoma State University
11    University of Texas
12    University of Georgia
13    Texas A&M University
14    University of Oklahoma
15    University of Florida
16    Stanford University
17    University of Michigan
18    Mississippi State University
19    Georgia Tech
20    University of South Carolina
21    University of South Florida
22    Northwestern University
23    Columbia University
24    University of Oregon
25    University of Illinois
26    Cornell University
27    University of Mississippi
28    Tulane University
29    University of Central Florida
30    University of Wisconsin
31    University of Kentucky
32    Texas Tech University
33    Florida State University
34    University of Memphis
35    Duke University
36    UC Santa Barbara
37    University of Arkansas
38    SMU
39    University of Minnesota
40    Purdue University
41    Rice University
42    Georgia State University
43    University of Louisville
44    Utah State University
45    University of Tennessee
46    Vanderbilt University
47    University of Portland
48    University of San Diego
49    University of Washington
50    Cal Poly

Of course it has been stated that Texas Tech,Tennessee and Vanderbilt cannot advance to the tournament since they are under .500….

The travel grid for the 1-2 seeds hasn’t changed at all since last night.

Travel grid for 1-2 seeds

The grid for third seeds has changed a bit.

Travel Grid for 1-3 seeds

This kind of makes me think Valpo is heading to Ohio State.

Travel Grid 1-4 seeds

Friday Night Seeds and Travel Grids

We are closing down the back stretch. Just two days of tennis remain. So who is in?

If we use all of the current results and project the remaining top seeds as AQ’s, then here it is!

1    Wake Forest University
1    University of Virginia
1    Ohio State University
1    UCLA
1    TCU
1    University of Southern California
1    Baylor University
1    Texas A&M University
1    California
1    North Carolina
1    Oklahoma State University
1    University of Texas
1    University of Georgia
1    University of Oklahoma
1    University of Florida
1    Stanford University
2    University of Michigan
2    Mississippi State University
2    University of South Carolina
2    Georgia Tech
2    University of South Florida
2    Northwestern University
2    Columbia University
2    University of Illinois
2    University of Oregon
2    Cornell University
2    University of Mississippi
2    Tulane University
2    University of Central Florida
2    University of Wisconsin
2    University of Kentucky
2    Florida State University
3    University of Memphis
3    Duke University
3    UC Santa Barbara
3    University of Arkansas
3    SMU
3    University of Minnesota
3    Purdue University
3    Georgia State University
3    Rice University
3    University of Louisville
3    University of Tennessee
3    Utah State University
3    Pepperdine
3    Drake University
3    East Tennessee State University
3    University of Richmond
4    Valparaiso University
4    University of Denver
4    New Mexico State University
4    Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
4    Tennessee Tech University
4    University at Buffalo
4    DePaul University
4    Florida Gulf Coast University
4    University of Idaho
4    UNC Wilmington
4    Monmouth University
4    U.S. Military Academy
4    Presbyterian College
4    Bryant University
4    Florida A&M University
4    Alabama State University

As you know, the first thing we need to do is create travel grids. So here we go:

Travel grid for 1-2 seeds

Travel Grid for 1-3 Seeds

Travel Grid 1-4 seeds

So that’s where we stand. I am sure you can see where a few people are heading. The 1-2’s are amazingly spread out.

Just a few more days and it will all be official.

OU a top-16 and What Happens If Texas Tech Runs The Table

I had someone ask if Texas Tech would be a Top-16 seed and host if they ran the table… well, no. They get about as high as 27th. Here’s the top-50 if Tech wins out and seeds hold, based on the results in so far today.

BTW, the Aggies are very excited to know OU will not be a top-16 seed and travel to College Station. Don’t worry, I hope to create a bracket tomorrow night and give my predictions.

1    Wake Forest University
2    University of Virginia
3    UCLA
4    Ohio State University
5    University of Southern California
6    Baylor University
7    TCU
8    Texas A&M University
9    California
10    North Carolina
11    University of Texas
12    Oklahoma State University
13    University of Georgia
14    University of Oklahoma
15    University of Florida
16    University of Michigan
17    Stanford University
18    University of South Carolina
19    Mississippi State University
20    University of Oregon
21    Georgia Tech
22    University of South Florida
23    Northwestern University
24    University of Illinois
25    Columbia University
26    Cornell University
27    Texas Tech University
28    University of Mississippi
29    University of Kentucky
30    University of Central Florida
31    Tulane University
32    University of Wisconsin
33    Florida State University
34    University of Memphis
35    Duke University
36    UC Santa Barbara
37    University of Arkansas
38    University of Minnesota
39    SMU
40    University of Portland
41    Purdue University
42    Rice University
43    Georgia State University
44    University of Louisville
45    Utah State University
46    Vanderbilt University
47    University of Washington
48    University of Notre Dame
49    University of Tennessee
50    University of Utah

If Everything Goes Chalk This Weekend — men’s top-50

If every conference tournament out there goes chalk, here’s the top-50. Not a whole lot of changes from the Power 5 list, but wanted to verify this. If you want the live feed, remember the link is here, http://texascollegetennis.com/current-mens-ita-rankings/

1 Wake Forest University
2 University of Virginia
3 Ohio State University
4 UCLA
5 TCU
6 University of Southern California
7 Baylor University
8 Oklahoma State University
9 Texas A&M University
10 University of Texas
11 California
12 North Carolina
13 University of Georgia
14 University of Florida
15 University of Michigan
16 University of Oklahoma
17 Stanford University
18 University of South Carolina
19 Mississippi State University
20 University of Oregon
21 Georgia Tech
22 University of South Florida
23 Columbia University
24 Northwestern University
25 University of Illinois
26 Cornell University
27 University of Mississippi
28 University of Kentucky
29 Tulane University
30 University of Central Florida
31 University of Wisconsin
32 University of Memphis
33 Florida State University
34 Duke University
35 SMU
36 UC Santa Barbara
37 University of Arkansas
38 University of Minnesota
39 University of Portland
40 Purdue University
41 Rice University
42 Georgia State University
43 Texas Tech University
44 University of Louisville
45 Utah State University
46 Vanderbilt University
47 University of Washington
48 University of Notre Dame
49 University of Tennessee
50 Harvard University