A Wild Weekend; Lineup data for men

It was a pretty crazy weekend for teams out of Texas this weekend.

With Texas losing at Stanford on Friday, then rallying to win at Cal on Saturday, TCU was scraping out 4-3 wins at both Cal Friday and Stanford Saturday. BTW, if you haven’t seen that last point of the Stanford-TCU dual, then you must (LINK). Baylor has to rally against UCSB then gets blanked by UCLA. Texas A&M loses the doubles point to Vandy before sweeping singles (more on this later) and then rallies to beat Kentucky 4-3. Even on the women’s side, TCU saved three match points in the doubles, then with the match tied at 3-all, Caroline Wegner was down 5-3 in the third. She won four straight games to seal the match.

I have to say, I kind of felt that the Texas men would lose to Stanford and beat Cal. For some reason I thought the match-ups would work that way. Thankfully I wasn’t feeling well and also had zero patience for watching online, over even over Twitter.

Texas is an enigma. They can beat really good teams, but also at times lack the maturity to beat the teams they really should handle. I am not saying that Stanford is bad, but the blowout to Wake, combined with the Stanford and Tulsa losses just shows that this is still a very young team. They can also beat very good teams, like Cal, Florida and Oklahoma State.

The Aggies are certainly on a roll, rattling off some good wins over the past three weeks. They are still under .500 for the doubles point but are an incredible 22-2 at lines 3 and 4.

Speaking of which, here’s some data I collected on all the teams in Texas (vs. D1 competition) Ed note – this was run Sunday evening.

TEAM S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 S6 D1 D2 D3 3+S DUBS
Abilene Christian University 7-5 5-7 4-8 5-8 5-7 4-7 5-6 6-6 5-5 6-7 6-7
Baylor University 10-3 10-1 9-1 6-6 6-5 7-5 2-8 10-3 9-4 12-3 9-6
Univ. of Incarnate Word 3-4 2-3 2-3 3-3 2-3 3-4 4-1 1-7 3-4 3-5 3-5
Lamar University 7-3 5-7 4-7 6-5 6-4 5-6 4-2 6-4 6-4 7-5 7-5
Prairie View A&M University 0-12 0-12 2-10 0-12 0-11 2-9 0-9 0-8 0-9 0-13 0-13
Rice University 2-8 10-2 10-3 9-6 9-3 7-4 9-1 8-4 9-3 12-4 12-4
SMU 6-5 7-2 5-4 7-3 4-5 7-3 7-1 7-4 6-4 8-3 9-2
TCU 9-0 6-2 5-3 4-3 2-4 0-7 5-4 7-1 1-4 6-3 6-3
University of Texas 6-8 9-7 13-3 13-3 12-2 10-4 6-8 9-7 11-3 16-2 11-7
Texas A&M University 10-2 6-7 4-8 11-0 11-2 9-4 3-8 6-5 5-7 12-1 4-9
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 7-2 6-2 6-3 5-5 8-2 6-3 6-2 4-4 3-4 8-4 6-6
Texas Tech University 6-7 6-8 11-2 8-3 5-6 2-10 7-5 6-5 7-6 9-6 8-7
University of Texas at Arlington 3-5 1-5 6-2 6-1 5-1 6-5 2-2 6-2 6-3 6-5 6-5
University of Texas, Rio Grande Valley 3-10 3-9 2-11 4-8 2-9 0-12 3-11 3-7 4-8 2-12 1-13

The headings are like this:
S1 is line #1 singles, S2 is line #2 and so on.
D1 is line #1 doubles…
3+S is how many times they have won 3 or more singles matches in a dual
DUBS is their record winning the doubles point

As you can see, Texas is 16-2 at winning at least three singles lines. The issue is they have also lost some key doubles points AND those two where they haven’t have come in the last two weekend.

Baylor has been fantastic at the top of the lineup, going a combined 29-5 at lines 1-3.

Texas is 48-12 at line 3-6.

TCU is undefeated at line 1

Thoughts on Wake demonizing Texas

Things did not go the Horns way this afternoon at the Well(er) Indoor Tennis Center. I am in the mood to ramble, so here’s my scatter-shooting:

  • First off, the place needs a nickname. I’m putting The Well out there.
  • After a month of beautiful weather, we get the worst day of the year. I am guessing both teams would rather have played outdoors, but c’est la vie.
  • When I first show up, I think maybe the wrong team from Wake came. They are freaking tall. I keep looking around for Tim Duncan. Seraphim is listed at 6-10, Monsouri at 6-3, Gadjiev at 6-6, Gojo at 6-5. Thank goodness Ito’s not in, they would just post his ass up down low…
  • Texas had chances in the doubles… except against Seraphim-Monsouri at 1. Scott/Zlobinsky got a quick break, gave it right back, but definitely had more break chances at 2. Sigsgaard/Markes had at least six break points I know of. I think they got two in play, maybe. One of those should’ve been won if not for just some incredible play from WF.
  • I think Coach Center’s quote, “I think Wake Forest just played better than us today. We had good intensity. Wake Forest has a heck of a team.”, is spot on.

  • With Ito out of the lineup this was going to be a long uphill battle regardless.
  • I loved Wake’s aggressiveness in doubles. They were constantly on top of the net. I don’t see how anyone beats Seraphim-Monsouri when they are on. As my 11-year old said, “that big guy has a good serve, but that other guy is incredible.”
  • There was a great crowd. I saw a ton of old friends, ex-players and coaches. It was great seeing Jon Wiegand, Suds (Sudanwa Sitaram), Steve Cobb, Alex Rafiee, Jacoby (Lewis), Joey Cantu and Butch Hayes. There were a bunch of folks I saw and didn’t even speak to. Like I said, great crowd. I am assuming @thetennisnerd was the dude in the Cornell sweatshirt. Sorry I didn’t say hello.
  • Harrison Scott looked off. Not to dis Gojo, he was/is a beast, but something was up.
  • GG was battling, but just over-matched. He really battled.
  • Sigsgaard was up 4-1 in the first and Chrysochos just did his thing. He is freaking good.
  • While the rest of the team looks like a foreign basketball team, Chrysochos looks like he’s your he could be your Philosophy or Religion professor.
  • Give credit to Wake, not only are they good, but they also played well.
  • I left after Sigsgaard gave his break back in the first. Scott was just bageled and I kind of knew how this was going to end.

I’m not really sure what more needs to be said. Wake is good.

Aggie men with another big comeback; Don’t look now, but here comes TCU

For the third straight time, the Texas A&M men’s team made a huge comeback, this time upsetting #13 Florida in Gainesville. This Aggies squad has shown some real resilience, which is key to building a team for May when it counts.

The Aggies have done this by relying on the two freshmen at the bottom of the lineup coming up big at key times. Not to say the upperclassmen haven’t contributed, but Vacherot and Habib are 5-1 in singles in these three matches, which can be tough for players just coming into college tennis. Of course Rinderknech and Arconada are 6-0 as well during this time.

The biggest surprise is that Texas A&M hasn’t won the doubles point in any of these matches. They are a shocking 2-7 in capturing the doubles point (only won vs. Texas Tech and UT-RGV), which has always been a strong suit in College Station.

The Aggies have another big match tomorrow morning against South Carolina. I am guessing they come out a little stronger and complete a road sweep for the weekend. Put me in the camp that isn’t convinced of the Gamecocks ranking right now.

This quick start to the SEC schedule hopefully gives them some confidence. Looking down the road next week, the Aggies host Vandy and Kentucky. By the way, I really like the Aggies’ schedule. Now that they are gaining some steam, they have some great matches on the horizon. They host Ohio State and travel to TCU, in addition to the rest of their SEC schedule. As long as they keep improving, the should be in a solid position to host a first round.

Speaking of TCU, the Horned Frogs are now at full strength and looking to make some noise. TCU still lacks any depth whatsoever and really has struggled at the bottom of the lineup this season. They are 3-2 at line 5 and an unreal 0-6 at line 6, across all dual matches this spring.

This is going to put a ton of pressure on Rybakov and Norrie, but they are two of the best players in college tennis. Where it is rally going to heat up is at three and four with Nunez and Lopez. If TCU loses the doubles point, these guys essentially HAVE to win.

Ohio State will be top-ranked next week and other random notes

In case you missed my tweets this afternoon, I have updated the rankings page found here. I have only updated some of the men’s locations that were troublesome and hope to update the women’s sometime soon.

If you don’t know what this page is, it projects the NEXT rankings, based on the most recent results and the current rankings. The rankings are not perfect (as I have not gone through and tried to figure out the entire unpublished 51-125), but they are getting better. I hope to publish a file this weekend that will bring them even closer to what is expected.

So yes, Ohio State will likely remain as the top-ranked team in the ITA Rankings next week. A couple of things COULD happen. First, Wake Forest travels to Austin to face Texas. Should the Demon Deacons beat Texas (at Caswell Tennis Center at 3 PM), they would become the top-ranked team. Of course that would not be definite because Ohio State hosts Notre Dame (won’t affect the rankings) on Friday and #5 Oklahoma on Sunday. Two wins and they would go back to the top spot.

Virginia has taken the route of playing ITF Futures matches across the country for the next few weeks. They really do not play the meat of their schedule until a bit later. In fact, their ACC schedule of UNC, Wake, Georgia Tech and Notre Dame are their only top-30 matches remaining.

AROUND THE STATE
A quick look at matches across the reaminder of the state this weekend has Baylor traveling to South Florida before heading to the West Coast for UCLA next weekend.

Texas A&M has a tough road trip ahead this weekend. The Aggies travel to Gainesville to face Florida on Friday and then up to play South Carolina. This will be an interesting test for a team that seems to be finding themselves. Deep down, 1-1 is a solid and expected result.

TCU just got a win over SMU tonight. The Horned Frogs will host Wake Forest on Sunday. The Horned Frogs are really tough at the top of the lineup and I will be excited to see how they fare against Wake’s bunch. I do think their depth is a liability, so they need to remain healthy for the long run.

Rice has Incarnate Word and Abilene Christian Friday before traveling to Austin (this time at Westwood Country Club at 3 P.M.).

Texas A&M Corpus Christi hosts the HEB Tournament of Champions this weekend. They will be hosting South Alabama, Arizona, Louisiana, DePaul, New Mexico State, UTSA and UTRGV. This is a legendary tournament that is in its 51st edition.

ITA Men’s Indoor Finals Match Probabilities

Here are the probabilities for the Ohio State-UVA match on Monday. One thing to remember is that these were calculated based on data before the weekend started (Altamirano was a whopping 2-3 before the weekend and today was the only match he’s completed). I would update the data now, but today’s data is not even complete in the ITA official results, as I type this.

University of Virginia . Ohio State University .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . University of Virginia TO WIN
Collin Altamirano 2.1549 . Mikael Torpegaard 6.1285 . 0.2601
Thai-Son Kwiatkowski 3.5004 . Hugo Di Feo 4.2885 . 0.4494
Carl Soderlund 2.5847 . JJ Wolf 1.5825 . 0.6202
JC Aragone 3.5501 . Herkko Pollanen 4.3814 . 0.4476
Alexander Ritschard 2.2762 . Martin Joyce 2.844 . 0.4446
Henrik Wiersholm 3.2284 . Kyle Seelig 2.9245 . 0.5247
.. .. . IF University of Virginia WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.5772
.. .. . IF Ohio State University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.2627

I will be interested to see if Ohio State can mount a serious challenge since the Wahoos have rolled this weekend. I suspect they will and this should be an outstanding match.

Sunday Probabilities ITA Men’s Indoors

Time for the Sunday probabilities. I have to admit, tough loss for Texas, but good grief, Ohio State, Wake, Carolina and UVA are freaking good. What a day. I didn’t watch a lick (kids stuff), but I was glued to my computer and phone when I was able to check in.

I also updated Saturday’s results with the color coding for upsets and predicted results (LINK)

And now on to the probabilities…

University of Virginia . North Carolina .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . University of Virginia TO WIN
Collin Altamirano 2.1549 . Ronnie Schneider 3.8726 . 0.3575
Thai-Son Kwiatkowski 3.5004 . William Blumberg 2.1854 . 0.6156
Carl Soderlund 2.5847 . Simon Soendergaard 1.4062 . 0.6476
JC Aragone 3.5501 . Robert Kelly 3.5632 . 0.4991
Alexander Ritschard 2.2762 . Jack Murray 2.4699 . 0.4796
Henrik Wiersholm 3.2284 . Bo Boyden 2.059 . 0.6106
.. .. . IF University of Virginia WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.7244
.. .. . IF North Carolina WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.4091
Ohio State University . Wake Forest University .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . Ohio State University TO WIN
Mikael Torpegaard 6.1285 . Petros Chrysochos 6.9887 . 0.4672
Hugo Di Feo 4.2885 . Skander Mansouri 4.4634 . 0.49
JJ Wolf 1.5825 . Borna Gojo 2.1749 . 0.4212
Herkko Pollanen 4.3814 . Christian Seraphim 3.8779 . 0.5305
Martin Joyce 2.844 . Dennis Uspensky 2.2177 . 0.5619
Kyle Seelig 2.9245 . Alan Gadjiev 2.4973 . 0.5394
.. .. . IF Ohio State University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.6603
.. .. . IF Wake Forest University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.3461
UCLA . California .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . UCLA TO WIN
Martin Redlicki 3.4525 . Florian Lakat 3.9834 . 0.4643
Gage Brymer 3.9813 . Andre Goransson 3.9077 . 0.5047
Evan Zhu 2.3518 . Filip Bergevi 4.0688 . 0.3663
Austin Rapp 2.7504 . Billy Griffith 4.1117 . 0.4008
Logan Staggs 2.3847 . Bjorn Hoffmann 2.7879 . 0.461
Maxime Cressy 2.682 . Connor Heap 1.2537 . 0.6815
.. .. . IF UCLA WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.6202
.. .. . IF California WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.3018
Oklahoma State University . University of Texas .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . Oklahoma State University TO WIN
Julian Cash 3.0441 . Christian Sigsgaard 5.339 . 0.3631
Lukas Finzelberg 3.714 . George Goldhoff 1.9312 . 0.6579
Arjun Kadhe 3.1412 . Harrison Scott 3.4343 . 0.4777
Artur Dubinski 1.3815 . Yuya Ito 3.615 . 0.2765
Lucas Gerch 2.9 . Leonardo Telles 2.734 . 0.5147
Jurence Mendoza 3.0663 . Rodrigo Banzer 2.9749 . 0.5076
.. .. . IF Oklahoma State University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.5951
.. .. . IF University of Texas WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.2759

Just breaking up front and back of draw

University of Southern California . Baylor University .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . University of Southern California TO WIN
Brandon Holt 5.2224 . Juan Benitez 3.553 . 0.5951
Logan Smith 2.8938 . Maxime Tchoutakian 3.4107 . 0.459
Nick Crystal 2.7393 . Johannes Schretter 2.1029 . 0.5657
Thibault Forget 3.0071 . Jimmy Bendeck 3.4898 . 0.4629
Jack Jaede 2.7571 . Will Little 2.3948 . 0.5352
Rob Bellamy 3.4654 . Constantin Frantzen 2.3662 . 0.5942
.. .. . IF University of Southern California WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.7215
.. .. . IF Baylor University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.4114
University of Oklahoma . University of Florida .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . University of Oklahoma TO WIN
Andrew Harris 2.9719 . Alfredo Perez 4.365 . 0.4051
Spencer Papa 3.2552 . Chase Perez-Blanco 2.4476 . 0.5708
Alex Ghilea 2.8258 . Elliott Orkin 3.1966 . 0.4692
Florin Bragusi 3.2956 . Johannes Ingildsen 3.142 . 0.5119
Adrian Oetzbach 1.6185 . McClain Kessler 3.2475 . 0.3326
Jochen Bertsch 1.9657 . Jordan Belga 3.1512 . 0.3842
.. .. . IF University of Oklahoma WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.5508
.. .. . IF University of Florida WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.2447
Utah State University . University of Georgia .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . Utah State University TO WIN
Jack Swindells 2.6453 . Wayne Montgomery 3.8025 . 0.4103
Kai Wehnelt 2.749 . Emil Reinberg 3.6892 . 0.427
Jaime Barajas 1.8709 . Nathan Ponwith 3.0697 . 0.3787
Sergiu Bucur 1.8978 . Jan Zielinski 2.7888 . 0.4049
Sam Serrano 2.4669 . Walker Duncan 2.8612 . 0.463
Jonas Maier 1.8357 . Robert Loeb 2.5044 . 0.423
.. .. . IF Utah State University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.4926
.. .. . IF University of Georgia WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.2044
Northwestern University . Mississippi State University .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . Northwestern University TO WIN
Strong Kirchheimer 4.1053 . Nuno Borges 4.7755 . 0.4623
Konrad Zieba 2.8984 . Mate Cutura 2.0541 . 0.5852
Sam Shropshire 2.4672 . Strahinja Rakic 2.703 . 0.4772
Dominik Stary 3.3131 . Giovanni Oradini 1.6464 . 0.668
Ben Van Dixhorn 2.2257 . Niclas Braun 2.7093 . 0.451
Jason Seidman 2.6447 . Simon Baudry 1.5083 . 0.6368
.. .. . IF Northwestern University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.7431
.. .. . IF Mississippi State University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.4332

Day Two ITA Mens Indoors Previews and Probabilities

I have updated the line-ups and put together the new match-ups for day two. These are based on Friday’s line-ups, except for Cal, where JT Nishimura played his first singles match of the year, so I do not have a ranking for him. Not sure what that is all about, but hey, I substituted someone in.

Ed note (I also updated today’s line-ups, so the correct probabilities could be seen and they are listed here — LINK ). I have made what turned out to be upsets (although most are very minor) in RED and predicted wins in GREEN.

So here’s the main draw first:

University of Virginia . UCLA .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . University of Virginia TO WIN
Collin Altamirano 2.1549 . Martin Redlicki 3.4525 . 0.3843
Thai-Son Kwiatkowski 3.5004 . Gage Brymer 3.9813 . 0.4679
Carl Soderlund 2.5847 . Evan Zhu 2.3518 . 0.5236
JC Aragone 3.5501 . Austin Rapp 2.7504 . 0.5635
Alexander Ritschard 2.2762 . Logan Staggs 2.3847 . 0.4884
Henrik Wiersholm 3.2284 . Maxime Cressy 2.682 . 0.5462
.. .. . IF University of Virginia WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.6494
.. .. . IF UCLA WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.3343
California . North Carolina .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . California TO WIN
Florian Lakat 3.9834 . Ronnie Schneider 3.8726 . 0.5071
Andre Goransson 3.9077 . William Blumberg 2.1854 . 0.6413
Filip Bergevi 4.0688 . Simon Soendergaard 1.4062 . 0.7432
Billy Griffith 4.1117 . Robert Kelly 3.5632 . 0.5357
Bjorn Hoffmann 2.7879 . Jack Murray 2.4699 . 0.5302
Connor Heap 1.2537 . Bo Boyden 2.059 . 0.3785
.. .. . IF California WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.7612
.. .. . IF North Carolina WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.4511
Oklahoma State University . Ohio State University .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . Oklahoma State University TO WIN
Julian Cash 3.0441 . Mikael Torpegaard 6.1285 . 0.3319
Lukas Finzelberg 3.714 . Hugo Di Feo 4.2885 . 0.4641
Arjun Kadhe 3.1412 . JJ Wolf 1.5825 . 0.665
Artur Dubinski 1.3815 . Herkko Pollanen 4.3814 . 0.2397
Lucas Gerch 2.9 . Martin Joyce 2.844 . 0.5049
Jurence Mendoza 3.0663 . Kyle Seelig 2.9245 . 0.5118
.. .. . IF Oklahoma State University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.5687
.. .. . IF Ohio State University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.2507
University of Texas . Wake Forest University .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . University of Texas TO WIN
Christian Sigsgaard 5.339 . Petros Chrysochos 6.9887 . 0.4331
George Goldhoff 1.9312 . Skander Mansouri 4.4634 . 0.302
Harrison Scott 3.4343 . Borna Gojo 2.1749 . 0.6123
Yuya Ito 3.615 . Christian Seraphim 3.8779 . 0.4825
Leonardo Telles 2.734 . Dennis Uspensky 2.2177 . 0.5521
Rodrigo Banzer 2.9749 . Alan Gadjiev 2.4973 . 0.5436
.. .. . IF University of Texas WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.6365
.. .. . IF Wake Forest University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.3169

Now for the consolation draw

Utah State University . University of Southern California .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . Utah State University TO WIN
Jack Swindells 2.6453 . Brandon Holt 5.2224 . 0.3362
Kai Wehnelt 2.749 . Logan Smith 2.8938 . 0.4872
Jaime Barajas 1.8709 . Nick Crystal 2.7393 . 0.4058
Sergiu Bucur 1.8978 . Thibault Forget 3.0071 . 0.3869
Sam Serrano 2.4669 . Jack Jaede 2.7571 . 0.4722
Jonas Maier 1.8357 . Rob Bellamy 3.4654 . 0.3463
.. .. . IF Utah State University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.4677
.. .. . IF University of Southern California WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.1854
Baylor University . University of Georgia .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . Baylor University TO WIN
Juan Benitez 3.553 . Wayne Montgomery 3.8025 . 0.483
Maxime Tchoutakian 3.4107 . Emil Reinberg 3.6892 . 0.4804
Johannes Schretter 2.1029 . Nathan Ponwith 3.0697 . 0.4065
Jimmy Bendeck 3.4898 . Jan Zielinski 2.7888 . 0.5558
Will Little 2.3948 . Walker Duncan 2.8612 . 0.4556
Constantin Frantzen 2.3662 . Robert Loeb 2.5044 . 0.4858
.. .. . IF Baylor University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.6144
.. .. . IF University of Georgia WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.3023
Northwestern University . University of Oklahoma .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . Northwestern University TO WIN
Strong Kirchheimer 4.1053 . Andrew Harris 2.9719 . 0.5801
Konrad Zieba 2.8984 . Spencer Papa 3.2552 . 0.471
Sam Shropshire 2.4672 . Alex Ghilea 2.8258 . 0.4661
Dominik Stary 3.3131 . Florin Bragusi 3.2956 . 0.5013
Ben Van Dixhorn 2.2257 . Adrian Oetzbach 1.6185 . 0.579
Jason Seidman 2.6447 . Jochen Bertsch 1.9657 . 0.5736
.. .. . IF Northwestern University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.7092
.. .. . IF University of Oklahoma WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.3979
University of Florida . Mississippi State University .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . University of Florida TO WIN
Alfredo Perez 4.365 . Nuno Borges 4.7755 . 0.4775
Chase Perez-Blanco 2.4476 . Mate Cutura 2.0541 . 0.5437
Elliott Orkin 3.1966 . Strahinja Rakic 2.703 . 0.5418
Johannes Ingildsen 3.142 . Giovanni Oradini 1.6464 . 0.6562
McClain Kessler 3.2475 . Niclas Braun 2.7093 . 0.5452
Jordan Belga 3.1512 . Simon Baudry 1.5083 . 0.6763
.. .. . IF University of Florida WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.7848
.. .. . IF Mississippi State University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.4888

ITA National Men’s Team Indoor Championships First Round Previews

I am super excited for the Men’s Indoors this week, so I decided to put together some data I have on the teams competing. Hopefully I will be able to update this daily, but I am not going to promise anything just yet.

Last week I initiated a Twitter Bot that updates the scores whenever a point is won through my usual account (@txcollege10s). Hopefully that stays healthy and runs throughout the weekend.

This week I updated my singles rankings and compiled them into the team lineup to give probabilities for each match-up. The ratings come from an idea I posted in December, but were updated yesterday.

ITA FIRST ROUND PROBABILITIES

UVA v Utah State

University of Virginia . Utah State University .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . University of Virginia TO WIN
Luca Corinteli 2.2225 . Kai Wehnelt 2.749 . 0.447
Thai-Son Kwiatkowski 3.5004 . Jack Swindells 2.6453 . 0.5696
Carl Soderlund 2.5847 . Jaime Barajas 1.8709 . 0.5801
JC Aragone 3.5501 . Sergiu Bucur 1.8978 . 0.6516
Alexander Ritschard 2.2762 . Sam Serrano 2.4669 . 0.4799
Henrik Wiersholm 3.2284 . Jonas Maier 1.8357 . 0.6375
.. .. . IF University of Virginia WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.7656
.. .. . IF Utah State University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.4629

UCLA v USC

UCLA . University of Southern California .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . UCLA TO WIN
Gage Brymer 3.9813 . Logan Smith 2.8938 . 0.5791
Martin Redlicki 3.4525 . Brandon Holt 5.2224 . 0.398
Evan Zhu 2.3518 . Nick Crystal 2.7393 . 0.4619
Joseph Di Giulio 3.5465 . Thibault Forget 3.0071 . 0.5412
Logan Staggs 2.3847 . Jack Jaede 2.7571 . 0.4638
Austin Rapp 2.7504 . Rob Bellamy 3.4654 . 0.4425
.. .. . IF UCLA WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.6213
.. .. . IF University of Southern California WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.3073

Cal v Baylor

California . Baylor University .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . California TO WIN
Florian Lakat 3.9834 . Juan Benitez 3.553 . 0.5286
Andre Goransson 3.9077 . Maxime Tchoutakian 3.4107 . 0.534
Filip Bergevi 4.0688 . Johannes Schretter 2.1029 . 0.6593
Billy Griffith 4.1117 . Jimmy Bendeck 3.4898 . 0.5409
Bjorn Hoffmann 2.7879 . Bjoern Petersen 2.6982 . 0.5082
Connor Heap 1.2537 . Constantin Frantzen 2.3662 . 0.3463
.. .. . IF California WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.6959
.. .. . IF Baylor University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.3787

UNC v UGA

North Carolina . University of Georgia .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . North Carolina TO WIN
Ronnie Schneider 3.8726 . Wayne Montgomery 3.8025 . 0.5046
William Blumberg 2.1854 . Emil Reinberg 3.6892 . 0.372
Simon Soendergaard 1.4062 . Nathan Ponwith 3.0697 . 0.3142
Robert Kelly 3.5632 . Paul Oosterbaan 1.8208 . 0.6618
Jack Murray 2.4699 . Jan Zielinski 2.7888 . 0.4697
Joshua Peck 3.224 . Walker Duncan 2.8612 . 0.5298
.. .. . IF North Carolina WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.6126
.. .. . IF University of Georgia WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.293

and now the bottom half of the draw.

Oklahoma State v. Northwestern

Oklahoma State University . Northwestern University .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . Oklahoma State University TO WIN
Julian Cash 3.0441 . Strong Kirchheimer 4.1053 . 0.4258
Lukas Finzelberg 3.714 . Konrad Zieba 2.8984 . 0.5617
Artur Dubinski 1.3815 . Sam Shropshire 2.4672 . 0.359
Arjun Kadhe 3.1412 . Dominik Star� 3.3131 . 0.4867
Lucas Gerch 2.9 . Ben Van Dixhorn 2.2257 . 0.5658
Jurence Mendoza 3.0663 . Jason Seidman 2.6447 . 0.5369
.. .. . IF Oklahoma State University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.6381
.. .. . IF Northwestern University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.3217

OU v. Ohio State

University of Oklahoma . Ohio State University .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . University of Oklahoma TO WIN
Andrew Harris 2.9719 . Mikael Torpegaard 6.1285 . 0.3266
Spencer Papa 3.2552 . JJ Wolf 1.5825 . 0.6729
Alex Ghilea 2.8258 . Hugo Di Feo 4.2885 . 0.3972
Florin Bragusi 3.2956 . Herkko Pollanen 4.3814 . 0.4293
Adrian Oetzbach 1.6185 . Kyle Seelig 2.9245 . 0.3563
Jochen Bertsch 1.9657 . Martin Joyce 2.844 . 0.4087
.. .. . IF University of Oklahoma WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.5217
.. .. . IF Ohio State University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.2188

Texas v. Florida

University of Texas . University of Florida .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . University of Texas TO WIN
Christian Sigsgaard 5.339 . Alfredo Perez 4.365 . 0.5502
George Goldhoff 1.9312 . Chase Perez-Blanco 2.4476 . 0.441
Harrison Scott 3.4343 . Elliott Orkin 3.1966 . 0.5179
Yuya Ito 3.615 . McClain Kessler 3.2475 . 0.5268
Rodrigo Banzer 2.9749 . Johannes Ingildsen 3.142 . 0.4863
Leonardo Telles 2.734 . Maxx Lipman 2.5032 . 0.522
.. .. . IF University of Texas WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.6705
.. .. . IF University of Florida WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.3572

Miss St. v. Wake Forest

Mississippi State University . Wake Forest University .
PLAYER RATING . PLAYER RATING . Mississippi State University TO WIN
Nuno Borges 4.7755 . Petros Chrysochos 6.9887 . 0.4059
Mate Cutura 2.0541 . Skander Mansouri 4.4634 . 0.3152
Strahinja Rakic 2.703 . Borna Gojo 2.1749 . 0.5541
Niclas Braun 2.7093 . Christian Seraphim 3.8779 . 0.4113
Giovanni Oradini 1.6464 . Dennis Uspensky 2.2177 . 0.4261
Simon Baudry 1.5083 . Alan Gadjiev 2.4973 . 0.3765
.. .. . IF Mississippi State University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.4866
.. .. . IF Wake Forest University WINS DOUBLES .. . 0.1974

Week 2 and How I Voted in the Latest USTA College Team Poll

It is that time of the week where I can share my ballot for the USTA College Team Poll. We learned a ton at the Indoors, and this week should also be amazing with several key match-ups on the women’s side at the new USTA National Campus. One of the biggest shocks for me between my ballot and the eventual poll is the fact that Duke didn’t drop any further. Those two 4-3 wins over Northwestern at home must really impress. I also think Baylor and Rice deserve to be higher.

Here’s my women’s top 25.

RANK TEAM
1 Florida
2 North Carolina
3 Stanford
4 Ohio State
5 Georgia
6 Oklahoma State
7 Texas Tech
8 Cal
9 Pepperdine
10 Auburn
11 Baylor
12 Georgia Tech
13 Michigan
14 University of Southern California
15 Ole Miss
16 Vanderbilt
17 Arizona State
18 Rice
19 UCLA
20 Texas A&M
21 Texas
22 Duke
23 Northwestern
24 Miami
25 South Carolina

On the men’s side, it doesn’t really matter until this weekend. I did a little shuffling, but nothing major here.

My men’s ballot

RANK TEAM
1 Virginia
2 Ohio State
3 Florida
4 Northwestern
5 Wake Forest
6 Baylor
7 UCLA
8 North Carolina
9 University of Southern California
10 Texas
11 Georgia
12 Cal
13 Oklahoma
14 Oklahoma State
15 Kentucky
16 SMU
17 Illinois
18 Georgia Tech
19 Mississippi
20 Michigan
21 Oregon
22 Vanderbilt
23 Columbia
24 Texas A&M
25 South Carolina

For a link to the USTA Top-25, click here

How I Voted for the Inaugural USTA Top-25

I was thinking of posting my ballot yesterday, but wasn’t sure whether that would be frowned upon. But today, since Tennis Recruiting posted their on their new site, I decided it was time to go ahead and post my ballot.

I would like to point out that these first two weeks will be fairly scattered until we finally play the National Indoors. Many of the teams have played just a few matches and until we get some serious head-to-head action this weekend and next, we are all just putting names down on a list and trying our best to not include too much bias.

So with no further ado, here’s my women’s top 25.

RANK TEAM
1 Florida
2 North Carolina
3 Stanford
4 Ohio State
5 Pepperdine
6 Oklahoma State
7 Georgia
8 Cal
9 Vanderbilt
10 Duke
11 Georgia Tech
12 Auburn
13 Texas Tech
14 Michigan
15 Ole Miss
16 University of Southern California
17 Arizona State
18 Rice
19 UCLA
20 Texas A&M
21 Northwestern
22 Texas
23 LSU
24 Miami
25 South Carolina

My biggest takeaway from looking at the poll was the fact that some may not have realized that Texas A&M lost to Rice. That’s not such a big deal, but something I recognized regionally. I am also going to be curious how folks treat Stanford or as my dad used to say, Leland Stanford Junior University. To which I would reply, ‘you went to a junior college’? They really do not play anyone until next weekend when they play Oklahoma State and Florida in The Sunshine State.

My men’s ballot

RANK TEAM
1 Virginia
2 Florida
3 Ohio State
4 Northwestern
5 Baylor
6 Wake Forest
7 UCLA
8 Texas
9 Oklahoma State
10 Cal
11 North Carolina
12 Oklahoma
13 University of Southern California
14 Georgia
15 Kentucky
16 Mississippi State
17 SMU
18 Illinois
19 Georgia Tech
20 Mississippi
21 Oregon
22 Vanderbilt
23 TCU
24 Texas A&M
25 Old Dominion

As you can see, Oregon, which is on my ballot, did not make the top-25. This is because they throw out the top and bottom votes, meaning that you much be on at least three ballots to make the cut. Like the women’s poll, this should be more exciting next weekend as we head to the National Indoors.

For a link to the USTA Top-25, click here